Countries

U.S. States / Regions

Source Code and Notes

• The Python source code for generating these plots and this page is freely available here: Covid19Plots.zip
• The Covid-19 data is sourced from Johns Hopkins CSSE at https://github.com/CSSEGISandData/COVID-19
• CAUTION: This data is largely a byproduct of its source data with some basic subtraction, fitting, and plotting. The source data used is limited by the data available from official and other authoritative sources. There are many conspicuous flaws. Some regions may have misreported numbers for political purposes, which may appear as values not following the properties of naturally acquired data. Nearly every region suffers from a substantial testing deficit of both confirmed cases and, usually to a lesser extent, confirmed deaths. Active counts reported are a subtraction of confirmed from recovered and deaths, which suffers from poor follow-up on cases that likely recovered in many regions. Some regions have also stopped (or never were) reporting recovered cases, in which case the value is reported as zero in the source data. Reporting of values in many regions is impacted by weekly patterns and other variations which disrupt the deaths-per-day values. Making valid interpretations of this data requires careful consideration of the various flaws that contribute to the source values used.
• The dotted line marked "Projection" was an April 2020 estimate of resulting population-wide death rates based on case rates and fatality rates in select locations with exceptionally high early spread. Being from April 2020, this estimate did not include subsequent variants nor the effects of vaccination.